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Home » Bitcoin begins to shine, just as the market is questioning us about exceptionalism
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Bitcoin begins to shine, just as the market is questioning us about exceptionalism

By supportMay 8, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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Lisa Pauline Matakal

(Reuters) – It’s late to the selling USA party. But Bitcoin has finally regained its position as a great alternative for investors surprised by President Donald Trump’s trade war, and is keen to dump US stocks, the Treasury and the dollar.

Shortly after Trump announced the tariffs for his release date on April 2, the infamous, volatile Bitcoin slowly retreated after the first fall of the year fell to the lowest level of the year. According to Vaneck data, 10 of the 17 sessions in that period were able to outperform the stock market.

After an increase of 15% in April alone, the world’s top and original cryptocurrencies now have a beard from the $100,000 mark last seen three months ago.

In comparison, the S&P 500 slipped about 0.8% in April, with the high-tech NASDAQ composite earnings of 0.8% last month, with the US dollar index exceeding 4%.

“The latest price action may have begun to validate the view that Bitcoin is not SPX’s 501 company,” said an analyst at research firm Block Scholes.

Over the past few years, Bitcoin has grown 33% from the low in April in an astonishing turn of cryptocurrency, given how closely it mimics the performance of the stock market during times of market turmoil, especially in the high-tech sector.

According to Block Scholes, the correlation between Bitcoin and other asset classes has also shifted, with Bitcoin being the most inversely correlated with the Treasury’s steepest yield curve for over two years.

“We are pleased to announce that Ben McMillan, Chief Investment Officer, IDX Advisors, said:

Bitcoin has outperformed the 11% rise in gold since April 2nd, despite Safe Haven Metal’s surge to hit highs. Bitcoin’s expected volatility measurement fell to an 18-month low following the block shawl.

“The damages were made in terms of trust in US and dollar assets…but you can’t overnight (you can’t diversify),” says Martin Leinweber, director of digital asset research and strategy at MarketVector Indexes.

“What kind of neutral assets are there? What underlies this is the supportive change to Bitcoin and crypto.”

Investors have also become more bullish towards digital asset-centric investment products. Approximately $5.5 billion has flowed into these funds over the past three weeks. Coinshare data shows that Bitcoin products include $1.8 billion per week.

Jeff Kendrick, global head of digital asset research for standard chartered banks, said in a note to clients that if changes to tariff policy continue to encourage movement from US assets, the next leg can be felt higher.

The story continues

“We expect strategic asset reallocation away from US assets will trigger the next sharp rise in Bitcoin in the coming months,” Kendrick added that he saw Bitcoin hit a new record of around $120,000 in the second quarter of 2025.

Too early

However, it is too early to say that Bitcoin has cut ties with macroeconomic development.

Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the S&P 500 fell briefly to 0.45 in early April, but returned to 0.87 according to LSEG data. One indicates that it is running in lockstep.

And it still leaves some way from the highs on January record.

“I think we’re inevitably seeing a time when Bitcoin correlations (risk assets) rise again,” said IDX advisor McMillan.

“But the key point is that we are beginning to take on our own unique trading characteristics.”

(Reporting by Lisa Matakkar of Bengaluru, edited by Vidya Ranganathan and Alexandra Hudson)



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